This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 10:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 15th strongest of the 126 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 10 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Storm Warning issued March 15 at 8:50PM CDT until March 16 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
Nearby, since 10 March 2026
- August 9, 2026 · score 22 · 0.0 km
- August 8, 2026 · score 22 · 0.0 km
- August 7, 2026 · score 22 · 0.0 km
How we know
Confirmed by 7 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 69 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 69% |
| Coordinates | 44.3000, -85.6000 |
| Nearest City | Traverse City (51 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T01:50:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Storm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.41e484c3c10c110baece43ce40776dda |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Storm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore; Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake; Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake; Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Upper Entrance of Portage Canal to Eagle River MI; Eagle River to Manitou Island MI; Manitou Island to Point Isabelle MI; Point Isabelle to Lower Entrance of Portage Canal MI; Portage Lake to Huron Island MI to Lower Entrance of Portage Canal To Huron Islands MI Including Keweenaw and Huron Bays; Huron Islands to Marquette MI; Lake Superior from Upper Entrance to Portage Canal to Manitou Island MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian Border; Lake Superior West of Line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI Beyond 5NM from shore; Saxon Harbor WI to Black River MI; Black River To Ontonagon MI; Ontonagon to Upper Entrance of Portage Canal MI; Lake Superior from Saxon Harbor WI to Upper Entrance to Portage Canal MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border including Isle Royale National Park and 2 more areas |
| Headline | Storm Warning issued March 15 at 8:50PM CDT until March 16 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T05:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 5 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.41e484c3c10c110baece43ce40776dda8e885868.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6e2b3d474377a7ad6feb1fc5b1c64390b0684af2.003.3","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6e2b3d474377a7ad6feb1fc5b1c64390b0684af2.002.3","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6e2b3d474377a7ad6feb1fc5b1c64390b0684af2.005.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6e2b3d474377a7ad6feb1fc5b1c64390b0684af2.004.2"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | 5 |
| Iem Magnitude | 0.1 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | 1 N Wellston |
| Iem County | Manistee |
| Iem State | MI |
| Iem Wfo | APX |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_5_44.500_-85.670_1773621840000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773621840000,"latitude":44.5,"longitude":-85.67},{"id":"iem_S_44.750_-85.600_1773605100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773605100000,"latitude":44.75,"longitude":-85.6},{"id":"iem_S_44.630_-86.100_1773606000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773606000000,"latitude":44.63,"longitude":-86.1},{"id":"iem_S_44.900_-85.400_1773622800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773622800000,"latitude":44.9,"longitude":-85.4},{"id":"iem_S_44.850_-85.800_1773605340000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773605340000,"latitude":44.85,"longitude":-85.8},{"id":"iem_5_44.230_-85.950_1773621900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773621900000,"latitude":44.23,"longitude":-85.95}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 22/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.